Although climate change has been recognized as a “threat multiplier,” its specific effects on conflict-affected areas remain underexplored.

The gap

Consensus across the literature

Supporting evidence — 4 representative gaps

• EXPLORING THE IMPACT OF MIGRATION, ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE ON NORTH MACEDONIA: A SYSTEMATIC REVIEW (2024) · doi

  Future research should focus on the localinterplay of multiple drivers that influence whether the climate will increase the risk of conflict, and Neo Malthusian theory suggesting that as populations continue to increase, competition for resources will also increase, and could lead to conflict as the inequalities increase between those in control of resources and those who do not have access [1].

  Keywords: increase conflict resources future focus localinterplay multiple drivers influence whether climate risk malthusian theory suggesting
• Security implications of climate change: A decade of scientific progress (2021) · doi

  Jointly, they demonstrate significant climate impacts on social unrest in urban settings; they point to the complexity of the climate–migration–unrest link; they identify how agricultural production patterns shape conflict risk; they investigate understudied outcomes in relation to climate change, such as interstate claims and individual trust; and they discuss the relevance of this research for user groups across academia and beyond.

  Keywords: climate unrest jointly demonstrate significant impacts social urban settings point complexity migration link identify agricultural
• Re-examining the role of population policies in climate action (2024) · doi

  While larger populations generally lead to higher greenhouse gas emissions, I argue that reducing population growth is insufficient as a standalone climate strategy due to demographic momentum, and because it disregards existing disparities and structural inequalities.

  Keywords: larger populations generally lead higher greenhouse emissions argue reducing population growth insufficient standalone climate strategy
• Fragile Geographies and the Climate-Conflict Nexus: Investigating Climate-Induced Security Risks, Migration, and Inequality in Balochistan, Pakistan (2024) · doi

  Although climate change has been recognized as a “threat multiplier,” its specific effects on conflict-affected areas remain underexplored.

  Keywords: climate change recognized threat multiplier specific effects conflict affected areas remain underexplored