Open research questions in Credit Risk and Financial Regulations
74 gap statements mined from Credit Risk and Financial Regulations papers in our 4.5M-paper local library, which holds 1,087 papers on the topic — drawn mostly from each paper's own stated research gap, future-work, challenge and limitation notes, and its abstract. The ones listed below are a selection still marked open; each names the study that raised it, with a DOI link where the paper has one.
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What the literature leaves open
The lack of a comprehensive model to study debt risk contagion among industrial enterprises. The need to investigate the effects of fiscal and financial synergy on debt risk contagion. The absence of a numerical simulation framework to examine the dynamic evolution and mitigation strategies of debt risk contagion.
Debt Risk Prevention and Control for Industrial Enterprises in Achieving Carbon Neutrality from the Perspective of Fiscal and Financial Synergy · 2026 · DOIThe existing literature does not fully explain how market participants treat pre-existing correlations between institutions during a crisis. There is a lack of understanding of how regional factors influence the transmission of stress in CDS markets. The study aims to fill this gap by examining the predictive power of CDS spread correlations in the context of the 2023 Credit Suisse failure.
The study does not consider other types of derivatives. The numerical experiments are limited to a European swaption under the SABR model. The impact of a SIC default is modeled as a discrete jump, which may not capture all possible scenarios.
The ISDA Standard Initial Margin Model does not accurately model the systemic impact of a SIC default. There is a need for more accurate CCR models that incorporate the impact of a SIC default.
A rigorous objection to the framework is that crypto risk event data is sparse. We propose a hybrid calibration approach that draws on three complementary methods: deterministic inputs for well-documented parameters, Bayesian inference for parameters with limited data but informative priors, and Monte Carlo simulation for tail risk and reflexive dynamics. Stress-period data is sparse by construction.
The two-period model is intentionally stylized and lacks explicit price formation in secondary markets. The meta-analysis treats the eleven in-sample episodes as conditionally independent draws, which is an idealization. The LP-IV companion is honestly weak-identified, and the AR confidence sets are valid but informative at only six of thirteen horizons.
The K-A-T Framework: A Unified Framework for Macro-Financial Propagation Through Funding Constraints, Networks, and Policy Backstops · 2026 · DOIThe lack of a unified framework for macro-financial propagation. The lack of a comprehensive analysis of the dynamics of stress in the financial system. The need for a new perspective on the role of policy backstops in mitigating the effects of funding shocks.
The K-A-T Framework: A Unified Framework for Macro-Financial Propagation Through Funding Constraints, Networks, and Policy Backstops · 2026 · DOIA comprehensive empirical research design is required for backtesting, - The study suggests conducting a backtesting exercise to validate the proposed framework.
A closer look at the probability of default taking into account the current regulatory considerations · 2026 · DOIThere is a lack of research on the relationship between CDS premiums and money market funds. Prior studies have not examined the long-term relationship between the two variables.
Para Piyasası Fonları İle Kredi Temerrüt Swapları (CDS) Arasındaki İlişki: Türkiye Örneği · 2026 · DOIFirstly, the empirical analysis is limited to the period after 2022, characterised by increased volatility, and the applications of unconventional or macroprudential policies in Turkiye.
Time-Dependent Causal Relationships Between Credit Default Swaps, Effective Funding Rate, Exchange Rate-Protected Deposit Scheme, and Stock Market Returns: Evidence from Turkiye · 2026 · DOIThe gap in existing research is the lack of consideration of dependence uncertainty in systemic risk measurement. The paper addresses this gap by employing factor models to represent partial information on companies' risk exposures.
Static marginal expected shortfall: Systemic risk measurement under dependence uncertainty · 2026 · DOIThe current stress testing methods are insufficient as they only compute the sum of bilateral losses across institutions. The H^2 gap refers to the part of systemic risk that lives not in individual institutions' portfolios but in the interaction between those portfolios.
Systemic Risk as $H^2$: Cohomological Stress Testing, the Unhedgeable Residual, and Why the 2008 Crisis Was a Topological Event · 2026 · DOIFuture studies could evaluate the effectiveness of bond portfolio immunization during other time periods or using different methodologies. Future research could also explore the application of the study's findings to other areas of institutional investment management.
AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF BOND PORTFOLIO IMMUNIZATION EFFECTIVENESS DURING 2008 GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS · 2026 · DOIThe study identifies the need for regulatory oversight and technological improvements in the credit rating industry. The study highlights the importance of credit rating agencies in India's financial system.
Many traditional credit measures are more informative about current rather than future credit risk. Market-based measures of credit risk, like credit spreads or implied volatilities, are forward-looking but contain other confounding influences. Prior work has not fully explored the information content of earnings calls for credit risk forecasting.
The non-linear Cauchy problem is difficult to solve. The paper needs to provide an analytical formula for the valuation of a vulnerable equity forward.
Analytical Valuation of Vulnerable Derivative Claims with Bilateral Cash Flows under Credit, Funding and Wrong Way Risk · 2026 · DOIThe existing PD models rely on restrictive assumptions, - The logistic regression models may not account for complex structures in firm-specific risk drivers.
A closer look at the probability of default taking into account the current regulatory considerations · 2026 · DOIFinancial-literacy programmes should increase public awareness about credit ratings and their importance in investment planning. Greater cooperation among financial institutions, regulatory authorities, and credit rating agencies should be encouraged. Credit-rating analysts should receive continuous professional training to maintain high standards of credit evaluation.
The paper notes that existing models do not account for the presence of asymmetric funding costs, defaults, and wrong way risk.
Analytical Valuation of Vulnerable Derivative Claims with Bilateral Cash Flows under Credit, Funding and Wrong Way Risk · 2026 · DOIFurther research could investigate the applicability of the findings to other systemic events - Additional empirical outputs, including stepwise-regression diagnostics and placebo/event-time checks, could be…
Exclusions encompassed firms in the over-the-counter (OTC) base market, financial institutions, entities with negative book value, those experiencing extended trading halts, and firms with insufficient data availability.
Pricing the Default Risk Factor in Short-Term Debt: A Compound Option Approach in the Iranian Capital Market · 2026 · DOIThe study uses a small sample of ten firms, - The study only considers a limited time period from 2001 to 2025, - The study does not account for other factors that may influence financing…
Maximum Entropy Identification of Latent Financing Flows in Corporate Balance Sheets: Cross-Sectoral Panel Evidence · 2026 · DOIFurther research could explore the application of the maximum entropy panel estimator to larger datasets, - Future studies could investigate the relationship between latent financing flows and firm performance, - Additional research could examine the impact of different economic conditions on financing…
Maximum Entropy Identification of Latent Financing Flows in Corporate Balance Sheets: Cross-Sectoral Panel Evidence · 2026 · DOITo verify the identification of the H^2 class as a candidate early warning indicator from data. To apply the cohomological approach to analyze systemic risk in other contexts.
Systemic Risk as $H^2$: Cohomological Stress Testing, the Unhedgeable Residual, and Why the 2008 Crisis Was a Topological Event · 2026 · DOIExisting literature on bond immunization largely falls into two categories: theoretical extensions of Redington's model under stochastic interest rate assumptions, and empirical tests conducted during ordinary, non-crisis market conditions using real-world bond portfolios.
AN EMPIRICAL STUDY OF BOND PORTFOLIO IMMUNIZATION EFFECTIVENESS DURING 2008 GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS · 2026 · DOI
Most-cited papers in Credit Risk and Financial Regulations
- Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information · American Economic Review · 1981 · 12,949 citations
- The Determinants of Capital Structure Choice · The Journal of Finance · 1988 · 3,571 citations
- ON THE PRICING OF CORPORATE DEBT: THE RISK STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES* · The Journal of Finance · 1974 · 2,723 citations
- CoVaR · American Economic Review · 2016 · 2,395 citations
- Corporate Debt Value, Bond Covenants, and Optimal Capital Structure · The Journal of Finance · 1994 · 2,170 citations
- Liquidation Values and Debt Capacity: A Market Equilibrium Approach · The Journal of Finance · 1992 · 2,030 citations
- Forecasting Bankruptcy More Accurately: A Simple Hazard Model · The Journal of Business · 2001 · 1,898 citations
- Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations · American Economic Review · 2012 · 1,869 citations
- VALUING CORPORATE SECURITIES: SOME EFFECTS OF BOND INDENTURE PROVISIONS · The Journal of Finance · 1976 · 1,802 citations
- The Determinants of Credit Spread Changes · The Journal of Finance · 2001 · 1,619 citations
Most recent work
- Real Credit Cycles · American Economic Review · 2026
- Investor Composition and the Liquidity Component in the U.S. Corporate Bond Market · The Journal of Finance · 2026
- Approaches for modelling the term-structure of default risk under IFRS 9: a tutorial using discrete-time survival analysis · International Journal of Data Science and Analytics · 2026
- Machine learning in corporate bonds: Evidence from China · Journal of Banking & Finance · 2026
- The contagion effect of natural disasters in the Sovereign CDS market: Which causes? · International Review of Financial Analysis · 2026
- System, Method, and Formal Language Specification for X402-TSWP Extended Institutional Finance Protocol — Financial PTB Wire Standard (SYN-FPS-2026-001 / SYN-TD-011) · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) · 2026
- Carbon intensity disclosure and corporate credit spreads · Journal of Industrial Ecology · 2026
- Impact of market-oriented local government financing vehicles on credit financing: Evidence from China · Economic Modelling · 2026
- Partisan Cities: How State‐Local Political Alignment Shapes Credit Risk and Information Processing in the Municipal Bond Market · Journal of Accounting Research · 2026
- Creditworthy: Do climate change risks matter for sovereign credit ratings? · Journal of International Money and Finance · 2026
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