Amplified variability and abrupt reorganization of ecosystems under climate and land-use change

The gap

Evidence profile

Sourced from the abstract and limitations section and stated challenges and stated research gap and future-work section of the source papers, classified as general, drawn from work published between 2021 and 2026, spanning 5 journals. Those papers have been cited 298 times in total.

Supporting evidence — 6 representative gaps

• Global acceleration in rates of vegetation change over the past 18,000 years (2021) · Science · cited 282× · doi

  Global vegetation over the past 18,000 years has been transformed first by the climate changes that accompanied the last deglaciation and again by increasing human pressures; however, the magnitude and patterns of rates of vegetation change are poorly understood globally.

  generalabstract
  Keywords: vegetation global past years transformed first climate changes accompanied last deglaciation again increasing human pressures
• The impact of calibration strategies on future evapotranspiration projections: a SWAT-T comparison of three hydrological modeling approaches in West Africa (2026) · Hydrology and earth system sciences · doi

  The study uses a specific plant growth modeling, attributed as leaf area index, which may not be applicable in all regions. The study evaluates changes for the near (2031–2050) and far (2070–2099) future periods, which may not capture the full range of potential climate change impacts.

  generallimitations sectionevidence 5/5
  Keywords: study uses specific plant growth modeling attributed leaf
• Shrub-mediated vertical coupling regulates Holocene ecosystem variability and transition dynamics (2026) · Communications Earth & Environment · doi

  Amplified variability and abrupt reorganization of ecosystems under climate and land-use change. Limited understanding of the relationship between shrubs and ecosystem stability. Difficulty in reconstructing prehistoric population dynamics and ecosystem variability.

  generalstated challengesevidence 5/5
  Keywords: amplified variability abrupt reorganization ecosystems climate land-use change
• Climate Change, Vegetation Belts and Vitality of Pubescent Oak and Aleppo Pine on the Istrian Peninsula, Croatia (2026) · Climate · doi

  The gap in knowledge is the impact of climate change on forest ecosystem productivity, species composition, and ecological stability. The study identifies a lack of understanding of the relationships between climate-vegetation and ecosystem responses to environmental change.

  generalstated research gapevidence 5/5
  Keywords: gap knowledge impact climate change forest ecosystem productivity
• Attribution of Vegetation Dynamics in the Yellow River Water Conservation Area Based on the Deep ConvLSTM Model (2024) · Remote Sensing · cited 16× · doi

  Further research is needed to investigate the impacts of climate change and human activities on vegetation dynamics in other regions, - The development of more advanced models to predict vegetation dynamics, - Investigation of the effects of different ecological restoration practices on vegetation growth

  generalfuture-work sectionevidence 4/5
  Keywords: further research needed investigate impacts climate change human
• Climate Change, Vegetation Belts and Vitality of Pubescent Oak and Aleppo Pine on the Istrian Peninsula, Croatia (2026) · Climate · doi

  Further research is needed to understand the impact of climate change on forest ecosystems, - Studies on other vegetation zones and species could provide more insights into the effects of climate change, - Research on the ecological niche of pubescent oak and Aleppo pine could be conducted

  generalfuture-work sectionevidence 3/5
  Keywords: further research needed understand impact climate change forest

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