Substantial uncertainties remain regarding the roles of Asian summer monsoon dynamics, climate variability, and surface emissions

The gap

Evidence profile

Sourced from the stated research gap and stated challenges and future-work section of the source papers, classified as general, drawn from work published between 2024 and 2026, spanning 4 journals. Those papers have been cited 20 times in total.

Supporting evidence — 7 representative gaps

• Variability and trends of upper-tropospheric aerosols over the Asian summer monsoon region: an AeroCom multi-model study (2026) · Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics · doi

  Substantial uncertainties remain regarding the roles of Asian summer monsoon dynamics, climate variability, and surface emissions in shaping upper tropospheric aerosols. Global models show large inter-model spread in non-volcanic aerosol extinction coefficient over the Asian summer monsoon region.

  generalstated research gapevidence 5/5
  Keywords: substantial uncertainties remain regarding roles asian summer monsoon
• Selecting CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) for Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) dynamical downscaling over Southeast Asia using a standardised benchmarking framework (2024) · Geoscientific model development · cited 19× · doi

  The lack of a uniform approach to select suitable global climate models for regional climate projections over Southeast Asia. The complexity of evaluating model performance in simulating rainfall characteristics and key precipitation drivers. The need to account for observational uncertainties in simulating teleconnections between modes of variability.

  generalstated research gapevidence 5/5
  Keywords: lack uniform approach select suitable global climate models
• A Climate Perspective on the 2025 North China Record-breaking Extreme Rainfall: Analogues and Future Risks (2026) · Advances in Atmospheric Sciences · doi

  There is a need to understand the physical processes responsible for the exceptional intensity of extreme rainfall events in North China. The future risk of similar events is uncertain and needs to be assessed using climate models. The study aims to fill this gap by examining the 2025 North China extreme rainfall event and assessing the future risk of similar events.

  generalstated research gapevidence 5/5
  Keywords: there need understand physical processes responsible exceptional intensity
• A Climate Perspective on the 2025 North China Record-breaking Extreme Rainfall: Analogues and Future Risks (2026) · Advances in Atmospheric Sciences · doi

  The study faces the challenge of understanding the complex physical processes underlying extreme rainfall events in North China. The paper must also address the uncertainty associated with climate model projections of future changes in atmospheric circulation patterns. The research needs to account for the strong spatial variability of precipitation in North China and the potential impacts of climate change on this variability.

  generalstated challengesevidence 5/5
  Keywords: study faces challenge understanding complex physical processes underlying
• Land-Surface Influences on Precipitation Characteristics in the Wet Asian Monsoon Regions: A Review Integrating High-Resolution Satellite Observations and Convection-Permitting Climate Modeling (2026) · Advances in Atmospheric Sciences · cited 1× · doi

  The role of land-surface conditions in modulating precipitation has been considered minor in the Asian monsoon area. Previous studies have highlighted precipitation amounts and extremes, but not precipitation intensity and frequency. There is a need to reassess how land-surface conditions influence precipitation in monsoon climates.

  generalstated research gapevidence 5/5
  Keywords: role land-surface conditions modulating precipitation has been considered
• Connecting the regional hydrological cycle trends to greenhouse gases, anthropogenic aerosols, and natural forcings under climate change: A multi-model evaluation (2026) · Climate Dynamics · doi

  Substantial uncertainties remain in quantifying the response of South Asia's hydrological system to different climate forcing agents. The extent to which competing forcings interact to shape precipitation trends remains a critical research gap. The study aims to address the uncertainties in current climate model projections by systematically investigating the impact of climate forcing agents on annual precipitation and evapotranspiration in South Asia.

  generalstated research gapevidence 5/5
  Keywords: substantial uncertainties remain quantifying response south asia hydrological
• Distinct drivers of recent seasonal precipitation increase over Central Asia: roles of anthropogenic aerosols and greenhouse gases (2026) · Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics · doi

  Further research is needed to explore the physical mechanisms underlying seasonal precipitation changes in Central Asia. Studies should examine the impacts of external forcings on precipitation in other regions. Research should focus on developing more accurate and reliable models for predicting future precipitation changes.

  generalfuture-work sectionevidence 4/5
  Keywords: further research needed explore physical mechanisms underlying seasonal

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