Open research questions in Sports Analytics and Performance
362 gap statements mined from Sports Analytics and Performance papers in our 7.9M-paper local library, which holds 3,848 papers on the topic — drawn mostly from each paper's own stated research gap, future-work, challenge and limitation notes, and its abstract. The ones listed below are a selection still marked open; each names the study that raised it, with a DOI link where the paper has one.
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What the literature leaves open
Prior work focuses on accuracy, uncertainty, or competitive balance, but does not explicitly address procedural fairness. The gap is in evaluating how fixture asymmetries distort outcome probabilities relative to a fair baseline.
A Monte carlo framework for procedural fixture fairness evaluation in league competitions · 2026 · DOIFuture work will focus on extending the benchmark to additional model families, incorporating retrieval-augmented forecasting architectures, and investigating the integration of large language models with traditional statistical forecasting techniques to further improve prediction accuracy in large-scale international tournaments.
Forecasting the FIFA World Cup 2026 with Large Language Models: A Benchmark of Reasoning, Web-Augmented, Agentic, and Open-Weight AI Systems · 2026 · DOIThe study notes that the analysis is limited to a single club and player, which may introduce selection bias. It acknowledges that the findings may not be generalizable to average card-event patterns across La Liga. The study identifies the challenge of accounting for the effect of VAR on disciplinary outcomes, given the differing findings across leagues.
Late-match card-event rates and score-state associations in Barcelona La Liga matches featuring Lionel Messi: a retrospective analysis of StatsBomb open event data · 2026 · DOITraditional methods for athlete evaluation have limitations. There is a need for objective, data-driven approaches to support athlete assessment. Artificial intelligence models can help address this gap.
Artificial Intelligence in the Selection of Top-Performing Athletes for Team Sports: A Proof-of-Concept Predictive Modeling Study · 2025 · DOIThe need for a comprehensive understanding of the interdependence between traditional sports infrastructure and technological advancements. The challenge of developing a conceptual model that explains the process of technology innovations in the sports ecosystem.
The “Clockwork” Model for Deployment Technology Innovations in Sports Industry Ecosystem: Holistic Approach · 2024 · DOIIn this study, they were selected through model comparison, whereas future research may consider more flexible formulations in which the decay parameters are estimated jointly with the other model parameters.
The impact of weakness and recovery time on recurrent injuries in NBA: a dynamic event-count model with transient carryover effect · 2026 · DOITrust in public institutions outside sport is the tier at which the term spillover is warranted, retaining 36.
The spillover effects of fairness events in competitive sports events on audience social trust: a quasi natural experimental analysis · 2026 · DOIPlayer attribution in American football remains an open problem due to the complex nature of 22 players interacting on the field, but the granularity of player tracking data provides ample opportunity for novel approaches.
NFL ghosts: A framework for evaluating defender positioning with conditional density estimation · 2026 · DOIIntroduction Football player ratings contain overlapping attributes, but it remains unclear how these attributes form broader capabilities and how those capabilities relate to different economic outcomes across positions.
Determinants of players’ economic valuation: a structural equation model of the five major European football leagues · 2026 · DOIFuture research should focus on the development of new methods and tools for football analysis. The use of big data and artificial intelligence in football analysis is a promising area of research. The study suggests that expert judgement will continue to play an essential role in football analysis.
Evolution of Performance Analysis in Football: From Intuitive Observation to Big Data and Artificial Intelligence · 2026 · DOIThere is a need to review the literature on the evolution of performance analysis in football. The use of big data and artificial intelligence in football analysis is a relatively new development. The study highlights the importance of expert judgement in football analysis.
Evolution of Performance Analysis in Football: From Intuitive Observation to Big Data and Artificial Intelligence · 2026 · DOIThe lack of a framework for understanding the governance of sports public opinion. The need for a model that can elucidate how opinion salience, adverse impacts, policy-based incentives and sanctions, and multi-actor coordination shape strategy selection and evolutionary trajectories.
Evolutionary game and simulation analysis of collaborative governance of sports public opinion · 2026 · DOIThe need to choose models that are balanced in accuracy, interpretability, and computational complexity in conditions of high stochasticity of sports data. The lack of flexibility of traditional statistical approaches to describe complex nonlinear dependencies in the data.
A comparative analysis of machine learning methods with the application of the Kolmogorov-Gabor polynomial for forecasting sports event outcomes · 2026 · DOIThe lack of understanding of the factors that determine revenue variation in football clubs in Mozambique. The need for a quantitative analysis of the revenue of football clubs in Mozambique. The need to identify the determinants of revenue variation in football clubs in Mozambique.
The full multi-stage model is intractable for realistic tournament sizes. The SAA approach requires a vast number of scenarios to achieve convergence to the true objective value. VSS experiments have limited applicability in practice because they require finding the solution of a stochastic formulation with all possible scenarios.
It notes that the introduction of VAR may have affected disciplinary outcomes, but findings across leagues differ. The study aims to investigate the relationship between card events and match periods, using a large dataset of La Liga matches.
Late-match card-event rates and score-state associations in Barcelona La Liga matches featuring Lionel Messi: a retrospective analysis of StatsBomb open event data · 2026 · DOIAlthough this represents the established baseline in multinational tournament designs, it does not account for country-specific birth seasonality in the general population, which may introduce minor baseline variations.
Birth Quarter, Playing Position, and Market Value in Elite International Football: Evidence from the FIFA World Cup 2026 · 2026 · DOIThe NCAA cartel ensures that athletes receive compensation limited to the cost of attending college, which prevents football programmes from competing for athlete’s services on a price (compensation) basis.
Extending the findings to other discrete-scoring sports. Applying finite mixture models to other domains with heterogeneous and heavy-tailed distributions. Investigating the use of continuous mixture models in football goal distribution modeling.
The reliance on synthetic rather than real-world data, - The synthetic cohorts were deliberately constructed with strong between-group separability, - Limited generalizability to actual athlete…
Artificial Intelligence in the Selection of Top-Performing Athletes for Team Sports: A Proof-of-Concept Predictive Modeling Study · 2025 · DOIComparing the effectiveness of different models or approaches to technology deployment in sports industries, - exploring the ethical implications of technology in sports, - exploring the integration and impact of emerging technologies, - understanding the perspectives of various stakeholders, including fans, athletes, and sports…
The “Clockwork” Model for Deployment Technology Innovations in Sports Industry Ecosystem: Holistic Approach · 2024 · DOIComparator contexts produced mixed results and generated, rather than tested, a task-structured hypothesis.
Predictive judgment, continuity baselines, and earned deference in elite sport selection · 2026 · DOILa investigación sugiere que futuras investigaciones deben considerar la cultura editorial de cada medio y su impacto en la evaluación del rendimiento deportivo. La investigación sugiere que futuras investigaciones deben analizar la convergencia entre sistemas de evaluación humanos y algorítmicos en diferentes contextos deportivos.
El impacto de las aplicaciones estadísticas en el periodismo deportivo: estudio comparativo entre valoraciones algorítmicas y humanas en el fútbol de élite · 2026 · DOILa investigación identifica una brecha en la comparación entre evaluaciones periodísticas y algorítmicas del rendimiento de jugadores de fútbol. La investigación identifica una brecha en la comprensión de la cultura editorial de cada medio y su impacto en la evaluación del rendimiento deportivo.
El impacto de las aplicaciones estadísticas en el periodismo deportivo: estudio comparativo entre valoraciones algorítmicas y humanas en el fútbol de élite · 2026 · DOITo analyze the revenue of other football clubs in Mozambique. To compare the revenue of football clubs in Mozambique with those in other countries. To develop strategies to increase the revenue of football clubs in Mozambique.
Most-cited papers in Sports Analytics and Performance
- The hot hand in basketball: On the misperception of random sequences · Cognitive Psychology · 1985 · 1,048 citations
- The Economic Design of Sporting Contests · Journal of Economic Literature · 2003 · 832 citations
- Goals as Reference Points · Cognitive Psychology · 1999 · 735 citations
- The ecological dynamics of decision making in sport · Psychology of sport and exercise · 2006 · 641 citations
- The Peculiar Economics of Professional Sports: A Contribution to the Theory of the Firm in Sporting Competition and in Market Competition · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · 1964 · 633 citations
- Family Violence and Football: The Effect of Unexpected Emotional Cues on Violent Behavior* · The Quarterly Journal of Economics · 2011 · 528 citations
- Experimental evidence on players' models of other players · Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization · 1994 · 507 citations
- The Psychology of Rivalry: A Relationally Dependent Analysis of Competition · Academy of Management Journal · 2010 · 470 citations
- More Effective Choice in the Prisoner's Dilemma · Journal of Conflict Resolution · 1980 · 456 citations
- Do Tournaments Have Incentive Effects? · Journal of Political Economy · 1990 · 452 citations
Most recent work
- Multi-criteria decision-making in soccer: a bibliometric analysis · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications · 2026
- The use of machine learning in performance analysis in invasion games: Umbrella review of reviews · Journal of Sports Sciences · 2026
- A tale of two cities: a case study approach examining the inter-city competitive bid process for the 2026 FIFA Men’s World Cup · Soccer and Society · 2026
- Strategic pitching decisions and the role of heuristics in major league baseball · Psychology of sport and exercise · 2026
- Replication: No action ‘Bias’ among elite soccer goalkeepers during penalty kicks · Journal of Economic Psychology · 2026
- Quantifying football player value: a novel combined rating and ML ensemble approach for predicting top players · Journal Of Big Data · 2026
- Team strength and penalty shootouts in soccer: Market value predicts the winner · International Journal of Sports Science & Coaching · 2026
- The issue of sparse networks in sports competitions: can Elo ratings efficiently compare football teams that never play a match? · Journal of the Operational Research Society · 2026
- NFL ghosts: A framework for evaluating defender positioning with conditional density estimation · The Annals of Applied Statistics · 2026
- Balls and Strikes: The Effects on Domestic Violence · Eastern Economic Journal · 2026
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