Open research questions in Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
158 gap statements mined from Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction papers in our 7.9M-paper local library, which holds 1,084 papers on the topic — drawn mostly from each paper's own stated research gap, future-work, challenge and limitation notes, and its abstract. The ones listed below are a selection still marked open; each names the study that raised it, with a DOI link where the paper has one.
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What the literature leaves open
The need to balance model predictability and interpretability in predicting construction company failure.
Predicting Construction Company Insolvent Failure: A Scientometric Analysis and Qualitative Review of Research Trends · 2024 · DOIThese limitations suggest that future research should explore more standardized empirical designs and further investigate the integration of financial, qualitative and institutional variables in insolvency prediction models, particularly in SME context.
Understanding corporate insolvency in Portugal: concepts, regulatory framework and analytical approaches · 2026 · DOIThe study, on the other hand, only focused on some banks in the biggest city in the south of Vietnam, so further research on the area is needed, such as over Vietnam.
Future research should focus on exploring the intersection of AI with regulatory technologies, enhancing compliance processes, and investigating the ethical implications of algorithmic decision-making.
Operational Excellence Through AI and ML in Financial Services: A Comprehensive Review of Applications, Challenges, and Future Directions · 2026 · DOIThere is a lot of momentum in combining AI and ML with financial services. Changes are coming quickly with the potential for substantial impact on the industry. In this section, predictions about future transitions of AI/ML in financial services are explored, opportunities for future research and innovation are identified, and suggestions for stakeholders to prepare for future changes are offered.
Operational Excellence Through AI and ML in Financial Services: A Comprehensive Review of Applications, Challenges, and Future Directions · 2026 · DOINeed for robust data privacy and cyber measures to protect SMEs' sensitive data.
The gap the paper identifies is the need to study the impact of AI on automated financial reporting and analysis.
The need to investigate financial distress and its associated challenges and opportunities in manufacturing firms in Ethiopia. The lack of understanding of strategic responses to financial pressure and opportunities for improvement.
A descriptive analysis of financial distress patterns in manufacturing firms: challenges, financing constraints, opportunities, and strategic responses in an emerging economy · 2026 · DOIIt will pursue external validation across sectors and regulatory compliance gaps to verify scalability, robustness, and general applicability across different financial and operational environments.
Fuzzy algorithm-driven financial statement analysis and intelligent audit system design · 2026 · DOIFurther research can be conducted to compare the proposed model with other machine learning models. The study's findings can be applied to other domains with similar challenges.
Integration of Stacking Ensemble and Explainable AI for Taxpayer Compliance Risk Profiling · 2026 · DOIThe lack of tangible data on corporate tax avoidance makes it challenging to develop accurate prediction models. The extreme class imbalance in tax administration datasets is a significant challenge.
Integration of Stacking Ensemble and Explainable AI for Taxpayer Compliance Risk Profiling · 2026 · DOIThere is a need to study the performance of Islamic banks in Indonesia using EVA and financial distress models. The existing literature lacks an analysis of the capital structure of Islamic banks in Indonesia.
ANALISIS KINERJA DENGAN METODE ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED (EVA ) DAN FINANCIAL DISTRESS SUATU STUDI PADA PT BANK UMUM SYARIAH · 2026 · DOITraditional credit scoring methods have limitations and often fail to capture complex borrower behavior. Many AI-based credit scoring systems lack robust identity verification mechanisms. Existing systems often ignore or inadequately integrate bureau information, which compromises the reliability of the generated credit scores.
The gap in the literature is the lack of studies that incorporate machine learning and credit risk assessment into a formalized risk management and econometric assessment system. Prior studies have focused on structural and reduced-form credit risk models, but have not explored the use of deep learning models.
Deep Learning in Credit Risk Assessment: A Data-Driven Approach to Transforming Financial Decision-Making and Risk Analytics · 2026 · DOITraditional models may not adequately capture the complex and nonlinear dynamics of financial degradation. The need for a more nuanced understanding of credit deterioration and its relationship with financial variables.
Do Complex Models Matter? Evidence from Multiclass Machine Learning Models in Credit Outlook Prediction · 2026 · DOIThis finding also resonates with Simon's (1957) theory of bounded rationality, which posits that decision makers are constrained by limited information and cognitive capacity.
Artificial intelligence and financial decision making in Indian banks: Adoption, effectiveness, and challenges · 2026 · DOIFailure is fast, while recovery is slow. A brief liquidity shortfall can cause permanent structural damage. Conventional risk models miss key findings, such as the asymmetry of failure and recovery. The need to model saturation and depletion in supply chain dynamics.
The Solvency Margin: A Speed-Limit Metric for Capital-Constrained Organizations Under Stress · 2026 · DOIThe gap in the literature is the limited comparison of different methods for predicting business failure. The comparison of PLS with other methods is particularly limited.
Prévision de la défaillance des entreprises : comparaison de l'analyse discriminante, la régression logit et PLS · 2026 · DOILimited access to long-term capital. Exposure to new vulnerabilities such as cyber risk, data privacy, and platform monopoly.
Evaluation metrics Accuracy is the fraction of correctly classified instances in all the evaluated samples. It indicates the overall performance of the model across all classes. However, despite its popularity, it can be misleading when applied to an unbalanced dataset.
Transforming credit risk evaluation in digital lending from black box models to transparent decisions · 2026 · DOIThe benchmark comparison reported here is restricted to the FY2022 banking panel. The failed banks in this panel provide a clean binary classification target that aligns with what the established classifiers were designed to predict. The simulation scale was limited to 500,000+ simulations.
The Solvency Margin: A Speed-Limit Metric for Capital-Constrained Organizations Under Stress · 2026 · DOILimited analysis of financial ratios on financial distress prediction in pharmaceutical companies. Limited comparison of the predictive ability of the Grover, Ohlson, and Zavgren models.
Pengaruh Rasio Keuangan terhadap Prediksi Financial Distress dengan Model Grover, Ohlson, dan Zavgren pada Perusahaan Farmasi yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) Periode 2020-2024 · 2026 · DOIBy providing empirical evidence for the mitigating effect of AI innovation on debt default risk of construction firms, this study fills a critical gap in the literature of AI innovation and construction risk management.
Impact of artificial intelligence innovation on debt default risk of construction firms: the moderating role of intellectual capital · 2025 · DOITraditional credit scoring models have limitations, - AI-based credit scoring systems can analyze large datasets and identify patterns in borrower…
The dataset is cross-sectional and limited to a single year - The dataset exhibits a moderate class imbalance - The use of homogeneous sector-specific data reduces variability caused by structural differences across…
Symmetry-Based Comparison of Logit and Probit Models for Financial Distress Prediction in the Automotive Industry · 2026 · DOI
Most-cited papers in Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
- Credit rating analysis with support vector machines and neural networks: a market comparative study · Decision Support Systems · 2003 · 753 citations
- Managerial Applications of Neural Networks: The Case of Bank Failure Predictions · Management Science · 1992 · 742 citations
- The Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) should replace the ROC AUC as the standard metric for assessing binary classification · BioData Mining · 2023 · 556 citations
- Screening Peers Softly: Inferring the Quality of Small Borrowers · Management Science · 2015 · 552 citations
- A survey of credit and behavioural scoring: forecasting financial risk of lending to consumers · International Journal of Forecasting · 2000 · 549 citations
- Bankruptcy prediction using neural networks · Decision Support Systems · 1994 · 483 citations
- Introducing Recursive Partitioning for Financial Classification: The Case of Financial Distress · The Journal of Finance · 1985 · 456 citations
- Predictably Unequal? The Effects of Machine Learning on Credit Markets · The Journal of Finance · 2021 · 430 citations
- Machine learning for credit scoring: Improving logistic regression with non-linear decision-tree effects · European Journal of Operational Research · 2021 · 406 citations
- Evaluating credit risk and loan performance in online Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending · Applied Economics · 2014 · 404 citations
Most recent work
- Enhancing audit quality and reducing costs: the impact of AI in banking and financial services · Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence · 2026
- Predictors of financial distress: Differences between financial and non-financial small and medium-sized enterprises · Research in International Business and Finance · 2026
- Unveiling the impact of artificial intelligence on corporate misconduct, the perspective of information asymmetry · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · 2026
- Using Machine Learning to Detect Financial Distress From Sustainability Reports · Business Strategy and the Environment · 2026
- BPHD: Enterprise bankruptcy prediction with a hierarchical hypergraph and dual-decision experts · Information Sciences · 2026
- Artificial intelligence as a merger and acquisition catalyst: A resource-based view · International Review of Financial Analysis · 2026
- Enhancing Decision Intelligence Using Hybrid Machine Learning Framework with Linear Programming for Enterprise Project Selection and Portfolio Optimization · AI · 2026
- Digital twin-enhanced credit risk prioritization in mortgage portfolios: a hybrid model approach · Quality & Quantity · 2026
- Multi-class financial distress prediction using the textual information of earnings communication conferences based on ensemble machine learning models · Journal of Business Research · 2026
- Bidirectional Relationship Between Corporate Social Responsibility and Financial Distress of Firms in Emerging African Countries: Evidence From Wavelet Enhanced QQR Models · Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management · 2026
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